Thursday, December 9, 2010

correlation vs. causation

Correlation does not imply causation. I believe that this statement means that just because events are related does not necessarily mean they are one causes the other. Correlation, by definition, is a statistic representing how closely two variables co-vary. For example, a woman who has not smoked her whole life develops lung cancer. Most people would say that smoking is the only way you can develop lung cancer, but people who do not smoke CAN develop lung cancer due to their genetic makeup. Lung cancer and genetic makeup must be correlated, while smoking throughout one's life will ultimately lead to the development of this disease (a cause and effect relationship).

Another example of correlation:
As rate of ice cream sales increase, the rate of drowning increases.
Ice cream sales increase during the summer months, as well as the popularity of the ocean, pool, or lake. Therefore, more people drown during the summer months, and more people eat ice cream during the summer. These two ideas are correlated, but in no way have a cause-and-effect relationship.
An example of causation:
If I don't study for a test, I will fail it. Not studying for a test will most likely cause me to fail a test.

Tuesday, November 30, 2010

BREAKING NEWS: Rachel Carson kills millions!

300 million cases of malaria occur GLOBALLY each year. 90% of these cases (resulting in death) occur in Africa, mostly in children. DDT, dichlorodiphenyltrichloroethane, was used as an insecticide to control malaria and other insect-causing diseases during WWII and beyond. Eventually, DDT was banned due to numerous side effects on humans and animals, and mostly the disastrous effects it had on our beautiful earth. DDT, along with many other insecticides were banned because of an environmental movement that was started by Rachel Carson and her book, Silent Spring. Since DDT was banned, malaria has been a leading disease burden throughout Africa. No longer can malaria be ceased, but it continues on it's killing rampage in a country lacking infrastructure and other vital resources to put this disease to an end, permanently.

Saturday, November 13, 2010

Animal Cruelty

I believe that animal testing is inhumane. I have pets and they are a part of my family, I would never want anything bad to happen to them. When such testing is done on poor animals, the lasting effects are unknown and could kill them. I don't think this is the answer.

Sunday, November 7, 2010

What are the odds....

...that you'll be struck by lightening? 1/750,000

...that you will give birth to quintuplets (without any medicine)? 1/55,000,000

...that you'll win the mega millions? 1/135,145,920

...the world will end by a gamma ray burst? 1/14,000,000

...that you will become the next U.S president?10,000,000 to 1

...that you will win an Olympic gold medal? 655,000 to 1

Monday, October 25, 2010

Tribes of Man

Masai Tribe:
Asian Descendants:

European:
Hispanic:

Fulbe Tribe:

Native American:

Mitochondrial Eve

I believe that we have descended from a common maternal mitochondrial DNA line. Her name is Mitochondrial Eve. I am not a genius but I feel that it is possible that mitochondrial DNA could have mutated enough to cause slight changes over time.

Sunday, October 10, 2010

Life.

Two important things to survive:
1. Replication
2. Nourishment